Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 156.155408 184.520516 219.236094 265.773362 328.028202 4.108014e+02 533.608656
2024-12-22 115.394728 146.496296 189.055110 254.379242 358.036329 5.288999e+02 867.750348
2024-12-29 100.589802 134.210731 184.048115 268.931732 424.358836 7.380124e+02 1598.824370
2025-01-05 85.842832 117.960226 167.935982 258.887560 442.471417 8.736674e+02 2453.958921
2025-01-12 77.272121 109.063654 160.801213 261.136849 484.645325 1.105328e+03 4445.528411
2025-01-19 69.541241 100.094662 151.501739 256.175275 508.606112 1.320493e+03 7971.902061
2025-01-26 67.223690 99.451071 156.305215 280.673004 619.969495 2.027305e+03 36032.337989
2025-02-02 66.828830 101.890896 167.114246 322.262170 816.760371 3.818243e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 62.047956 95.891431 160.389768 320.008308 870.191343 5.057569e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 58.627805 91.930249 157.081685 325.545301 961.425173 7.511852e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 55.630432 88.391085 154.045865 330.973325 1061.608619 1.182420e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 52.551555 84.360016 149.320332 330.253238 1135.718810 1.817688e+04 NaN
2025-03-09 49.459464 80.384281 145.004973 332.520629 1252.966769 3.692038e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 45.551312 74.486291 135.642856 316.825852 1253.196242 5.624166e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 44.116652 73.334460 137.028316 336.885905 1537.728680 6.548320e+05 NaN
2025-03-30 41.099621 68.658542 129.303940 323.022547 1545.963935 4.919581e+06 NaN
2025-04-06 39.223356 66.151110 126.495283 326.120213 1720.311180 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 37.092686 62.919913 121.443610 319.292574 1794.613743 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 36.816389 63.557888 126.253690 353.191308 2467.837717 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 37.207147 65.668293 135.369021 411.788707 4056.585324 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 35.565390 63.121749 131.361676 408.580141 4461.990670 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 34.371866 61.482829 129.682428 416.469176 5332.486064 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 33.260521 59.936446 128.051246 424.224659 6429.993498 NaN NaN